In 2024, Trump saw greater support from working-class white, black and Latino voters in Philadelphia

President-elect Donald Trump has pushed Philadelphia to the right this year, increasing overall vote share across demographic groups and improving his performance with working-class voters, a shift that has continued since his first presidential bid in 2016.

Trump increased his standing in the city’s white, working-class neighborhoods, winning more than 30% of the vote in precincts where white voters make up the majority of the electorate, according to an Inquirer analysis of precinct-level data. He also improved in majority-Black and Latino districts and among middle- and working-class voters.

Vice President Kamala Harris, the Democratic nominee, still easily won Philadelphia with 78% of the vote. That’s to be expected in a deep blue city where registered Democrats outnumber Republicans 6-1.

But Trump’s influence in Philadelphia — similar to the growth he’s seen in urban areas across the country — helped him on the path to winning Pennsylvania and the White House. His gains, combined with slightly lower turnout in the city compared to 2020, meant Harris won tens of thousands fewer votes in the city than President Joe Biden won here four years ago.

» READ MORE: To win Pennsylvania, Donald Trump did exactly what he had to do in Philadelphia: he improved slightly.

Although about 2% of Philadelphia’s votes remained to be counted by Tuesday, election results show the city has clearly moved to the right – as it did everywhere else on Tuesday. Here’s a breakdown of the vote shifts.

White voters make up Trump’s base, but he grew up most among Latinos

Ballots cast by voters are private, so it’s impossible to determine exactly how each candidate performed with specific types of voters. However, we can determine which types of voters lean by examining how candidates perform in districts where a particular group constitutes the majority of residents.

Trump performed best in the city’s mostly white neighborhoods, winning nearly 30% of the vote in neighborhoods where more than half the residents were white, according to U.S. Census data. He won more than 90,000 votes in white-majority areas, accounting for almost two-thirds of his total votes in the city – even though these areas make up just one-third of all precincts.

While most of Trump’s support came from white voters, he showed the greatest improvement among Latino residents, reflecting the nationwide trend of these voters turning right. Trump won 22% of the vote in Latino-majority districts, compared to just 6% in the same areas in 2016. That’s a difference of 16 percentage points.

» READ MORE: Donald Trump’s growing support among Latino voters has helped him win the battleground state of Pennsylvania

Trump also improved in the city’s majority-Black neighborhoods, but his approval ratings in those areas were still well below the city average, despite significant hand-wringing within the Democratic Party over Harris’ potential loss of support among Black men. Trump won just 6% of the vote in majority-black areas, an augment of 4 percentage points over those areas’ 2016 results.

The city has only a few majority-Asian neighborhoods, so there wasn’t enough data to determine how Asian residents voted.

Trump has improved in areas where education levels are lower

Since his first presidential bid in 2016, the city’s working-class voters have consistently leaned toward Trump. In both the 2020 and 2024 elections, he made gains in districts where education levels were the lowest and poverty rates were highest.

For example, in neighborhoods where less than 40% of residents have a college degree, Trump’s score improved by 10 percentage points compared to 2020.

» READ MORE: In deep blue Philadelphia, working-class voters are shifting toward Republicans

Trump performed relatively worse in highly educated areas. It gained just 4 percentage points in districts where more than 40% of the population has a college degree.

A powerful point for Democrats was Northwest Philadelphia, where the Democratic presidential candidate won votes in most precincts for the second year in a row. The party also made significant gains in parts of Center City and University City this year compared to 2020, but that’s likely because many Philadelphia college students were off campus four years ago due to the Covid-19 pandemic. Together, these neighborhoods make up some of the most educated parts of the city.

Trump has increased his standing in lower-income areas

Trump generally received a larger share of the vote in higher-income districts, outside the highest-income bracket, where his popularity declined slightly.

His support was highest in districts where the average income was between $75,000 and $100,000 a year. He won 30% of the vote in these areas, up from 26.5% in 2016. Republican support in districts where the median household income is over $100,000 has increased only slightly over the last three elections, up from 20.3% in 2016 to 21.2% in 2024.

But his improvement with voters in Philadelphia has been most dramatic in lower-income areas. Citywide, Trump performed better in neighborhoods with higher poverty rates. In counties where the poverty rate is above 35%, Trump gained 3.3 percentage points compared to 2020. On the other hand, Trump saw less improvement in areas where fewer people live in poverty. In counties where the poverty rate is below 10%, Trump gained just 0.4% on the overall poverty rate in 2020.

His support in districts where the median annual income is less than $50,000 has more than doubled, from 4.9% in 2016 to 11.6% this year.

Staff writers Lizzie Mulvey and Sara Ghani contributed reporting.

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