In a survey of 800 registered Pennsylvania voters released today by the Commonwealth Foundation, Senator Bob Casey Jr. has a 12-point lead over his Republican opponent Dave McCormick in the fight for a vacant seat in the US Senate.
Casey, a three-term Democrat, received 48 percent support among those asked who they would vote for if the election were held today, while McCormick received 36 percent support. Five percent of those polled said they would vote for another candidate, while 10% said “none of the above.”
Men gave Casey a 14-point lead (51-37%), while women supported the Democrat by a margin of 46-35%. Younger voters supported the Scranton native by 18 points (45-27%), while older voters split the difference in Casey’s favor (51-42%).
McCormick received good news from rural areas of the state, as respondents supported him by 12 points (47-35%). But Casey eclipsed that advantage in urban areas (64-23%) and tied it in the suburbs (48-36%).
Finally, in his continued push to win over independent voters, Casey holds a 13-point lead over his Republican rival (42%-29%), with nearly one in five respondents choosing “none of the above.”
The senior Commonwealth senator was viewed favorably by 50 percent of respondents, while just over 1 in 3 (36 percent) had an unfavorable view. Three percent — or about 24 people — indicated they had never heard of Casey.
More men (52%) than women (48%) had a favorable view, while voters 45 and older (55%) felt more positive about the senator than those under 45 (42%). Urban voters (64%) and wealthier voters (54%) also favored Casey.
PoliticsPA polls show that an average of the last five polls in the commonwealth gives Casey an 8.4-point lead over McCormick, while an average of all 18 polls since the start of 2024 puts the Democrat in front by seven points.
