Good morning Tuesday morning, dear seekers.
Even if you’ve only been casually following the heated debate over abortion rights since the leak United States Supreme Court draft opinion gutting Roe v. Wade became publicyou are probably well aware that there are deeply held opinions among supporters and opponents of abortion rights.
You’re probably also aware that next week’s already crucial party primaries, up and down the ballot with November’s general election, have become even more essential as a result.
That’s because the party that ultimately gains control of the state and the U.S. Capitols, along with the governor’s mansion, will have a decisive influence on the future of abortion rights across the state and country.
But let’s shift the focus away from the partisans for a moment and shine a lightweight on that diminutive bloc of swing voters, persuadable voters and independents who don’t always attract attention but can still determine the outcome of an election with the power of their ballots.
End Roeor a significant overhaul of abortion rights by the highest court in the land could facilitate Democrats, who hold slim majorities in the U.S. House and Senate, motivate their own voters and lure persuadable pro-abortion rights Republicans to their side of the bill, according to a fresh analysis By University of Virginia Policy Center and Project House fire data analysis project.
Those crunching the numbers spoke to about 1,000 supporters President Joe Biden and 1,000 followers of the former President Donald Trump voters before news of the draft opinion was made public on 2 Maywhich, like most things in our politics, seems like a lifetime ago.
As of 2009, at least half of Pennsylvania voters they told interviewers at Franklin & Marshall College that they believe abortion should be legal in certain circumstances, while support for a blanket ban has declined.
Rating respondents on a 100-point scale based on the depth of their feelings, researchers asked Republican, Democratic and independent respondents: 1. How concerned they are about women losing access to safe and sound and legal abortion services, and 2. Do they believe abortion should be be legal.
Here’s how they broke on the first question:
Here’s how they broke on the second question:
The researchers found that the responses of Republicans and Democrats were about what would be expected from them. However, researchers noted that independent respondents were more likely to support abortion rights in both questions.
The researchers also found that “significant numbers of Republicans, Democrats, and independents fell in the middle on these issues (those who chose numbers from 26 to 75 on both questions).
“For example, note whether the respondent had concerns about women’s access to safe and legal abortion services. In total, approximately 37 percent of all respondents fell into this category, including roughly equal numbers of Republicans (36 percent), Democrats (35 percent), and independents (39 percent),” they continued.
The analysis concludes that these voters are likely “people who can be persuaded either way on the abortion issue.”
Meanwhile, preventing women from losing access to safe and sound and legal abortion services “appears to be one of the more important issues motivating Democratic and swing voters to come to the polls in 2022 and potentially persuading Republican voters near the Democratic-Republican dividing line to shift their voting intentions to a side other than current inclinations,” the analysis showed.
Still, the data suggests that, overall, abortion is still a more effective tool for motivating Democrats than it is for persuadable Republicans, analysts warn.
But, and it’s a large but, “voters today are open to upholding a woman’s right to choose over abortion and to the idea that America should do more, not less, to ensure it.”
Analysts weren’t immediately sure whether that would be enough to defeat bigger issues like the economy and inflation or improve Democrats’ chances in a year expected to favor Republicans. Kyle Kondik, Robert “Mick” McWilliams AND Larry Schack he wrote.
But this means Democrats will have to do something they are clearly terrible at: laser-focused their message in the run-up to November’s general election.
Stranger things have been known to happen. Few. But some.
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Our stuff.
In a special report entitled Capital and principalcourtesy of our partners at Pittsburgh City Gazette, explains the state of the oil and gas industry could jeopardize federal funding to immaculate up thousands of abandoned and leaking wells in Pennsylvania.
State and local addiction prevention officials gathered on the steps of the Capitol on Monday to highlight statewide prevention efforts as part Pennsylvania Prevention Weekwhich started on Sunday and will last until Saturday, Kasia Miller reports.
Electricity prices are expected to escalate starting June 1, the state agency that oversees Pennsylvania’s utilities said urges residents to comparatively shop if they want to soften the blow to their wallets, Kasia Miller also reports.
Will bilateral talks in Harrisburg finally result in the legalization of recreational marijuana? or are the latest green efforts going up in smoke? Our partners in City and State of Pa. take the question.
Lehigh County District Attorney Jim Martin said hDistrict detectives will continue to physically monitor drop boxes to vote by mail, but agreed to talk to the actor on Monday Secretary of State Leigh Chapman in this case, Correspondent Katherine Reinhard reports.
This morning on our comments page: There is a path to Chief Justice of the United States John Roberts save Roe. He should take itadvocate Mateusz Mangino I’m writing. And falling over Roe this is just the beginning of the threats to womenjournalist Taylor Hirth warns in an article first published by our sister site, the Independent Missouri.
Elsewhere.
Questioning looks at risk GOP candidate for the US Senate David McCormick MAGA processing.
Speaking of… a hopeful GOP governor Doug Mastriano says the Democrat Josh Shapiro attack ad will facilitate him win next week’s primary, Lancaster on the Internet reports.
AND Mastriano moved up 10 points in the latest Trafalgar vote, PoliticsPA reports.
Republican Party gubernatorial candidates in Pennsylvania doubled their consumption of fossil fuels and ignored climate in the period preceding the primary primary phase, StateImpact Pennsylvania reports.
GOP governor full of hope Lou Bartlett ensures transparency in education one of the hallmarks of his campaign, City and State of Pa. reports.
Immigrant communities they are pushing for more non-English ballots this campaign season, Stateline.org reports.
There are six months left things still look “ominous” for Democrats in this transitional season, Roll call reports.
Construction starts this week on replacing Pittsburgh Fern Bridgewhich collapsed earlier this year, Mail Newspaper reports.
A suburban Harrisburg school board can proceed with the restoration his First Peoples nickname, PennLive reports.
Gas prices in Pennsylvania are already sky high have reached a fresh peak, York daily record reports.
Morning call home preview for District of 134 homes in Allentowncrushing the incumbent Democrat Representative Peter Schweyer against the challenger Enid Santiago.
Residents of Dallas Township in Luzerne County have banded together to fight the proposed commercial venture, Voice of Citizens reports.
Officials in Delaware County will send mental health experts together with the local police, WHY-FM reports.
Go Erie looks at mental health challenges post-pandemic confrontation with Erie County.
Here’s your Instagram of the Day in #Philadelphia:
What’s going on
10:00 a.m., 1300 W. Godfrey Ave., Philadelphia: House Democratic Policy Committee
Wolf watch
Governor Tom Wolf will appear at this year’s edition at 11:15 a.m. via Zoom Pennsylvania Early Learning Investment Commission annual summit.
You say it’s your birthday.
My best wishes go to my former boss this morning, PennLive president, publisher and faithful reader, Cate Barronwho today celebrates another journey around the sun. Congratulations and have a nice day.
Heavy rotation
This is an absolute gem of a company Crowded house to start your Tuesday morning appropriately sentimental and longing. This is something absolutely wonderful “Fall at your feet.”
Tuesday free hockey link
The Calgary’s Flames won 4:1 over Dallas stars on Monday evening, in the evening Western Conference a playoff series of two games each. The Flames Johnny Gaudreau scored from a penalty on the way to victory, NHL.com reports.
And now you’re up to date.
