U.S. Rep. Susan Wild’s renamed seat in Pa.’s 7th District. is a “rejection” for the year 22 | Monday morning coffee

Good morning Monday, dear seekers.

It turns out that Route 22The Lehigh Valley’s “Main Street” isn’t the only road in the region that’s hard to navigate on the best of days.

Democratic U.S. Rep. Susan Wild, D-7 District who represented the Lehigh Valley and its residents on Capitol Hill for two terms, may face an equally rocky path as she seeks re-election in her newly elected district this fall, fresh analysis By University of Virginia political sage Larry J. Sabato suggests a panel of political forecasters.

Rematch between Wild and republican Lisa Scheller According to the analyst, it is currently a random issue J. Miles Coleman.

Assuming a fresh Pennsylvania congressional map, imposed once again by the state Supreme Courtsurvives the usual legal challenges (Pennsylvania Republicans They asked the U.S. Supreme Court to dismiss it), Wild the seat is set to become a shade or two redder this year.

How Coleman notes that Lehigh and Northampton counties continue to account for the majority of people who are terrified 7th district (90 percent). But the remaining 10 percent that was once Democratic-friendly territory in Monroe County has been turned into turf in reliably red Carbon County.

(Source: Saturday Crystal Ball).

If it were like this two years ago, President Joe Biden it would be exaggerated 7th district o slender as a mustache, half a percentage point, Coleman he wrote.

“If in 2020 Wild kept the same performance in Lehigh and Northampton counties, but it was close Biden in the new parts of the district she would lose about 1,800 votes.” Coleman wrote, adding that “Scheller has gained the support of several Republicans in the delegation, although it may not monopolize the primary elections.”

One key variable in the race could be the rapidly growing Latino population in the Lehigh Valley. Allentown, the largest city in the district, is already majority Latino, with that percentage increasing from 43 percent in 2010 to 54 percent today, Coleman he wrote.

“We talked about it a lot though [former President Donald] Trump gains with minorities in the context of the Sun Belt countries, similar developments have occurred in the Northeast. [While] Biden flipped the district, he scored 7 percentage points worse than Hillary Clinton in Allentown, Coleman he wrote. “If it fit Clinton There, Biden would raise the district by almost 1.5% instead of half a point – it doesn’t sound like much, but in a district that divides this amount equally, every vote counts.

As I and others have observed, the Lehigh Valley he has been a leader for a long time for the rest of Pennsylvania. AND Wild fortune could be a warning shot for Democrats as they enter the campaign season this leaves voters in a grumpy mood and negative about the future.

Pennsylvania State Capitol Building. (Capital-Star photo by Cassie Miller.)

Our stuff.
And after the stark analysis above, most Americans recently concluded Pew pollsters it they have heard little about changing the territorial division in their home states. Kasia Miller dives into the data from this week’s edition Rocket with numbers.

Well-known LGBTQ supporter Adrian Shankermost recently in Allentown Bradbury-Sullivan LGBT Community Center, receives a fresh role in a California LGBTQ organizationour partners in Philadelphia Gay News report.

In required reading The star of the capital, a reporter from Washington, Ariana Figueroa analyzes the situation Missing and Murdered Women of Color in Americaand what the federal government can do to lend a hand.

The star of the capital, Washington reporter Jacob Fischlermeanwhile, he crunched the numbers on hundreds of lawsuits related to the Jan. 6 insurrection at the U.S. Capitol and found that more than 15 percent of the defendants had ties to Pennsylvania.

Pennsylvania qualifies for approximately $26.5 million under federal grants for the reclamation of abandoned mine sites throughout the Commonwealth, Kasia Miller reports.

Holding things in the Lehigh Valley Correspondent Katherine Reinhard looks at the debate over the Allentown ordinance requiring contractor internships on city projects.

In Philadelphia, the city council approved an ordinance requiring employers with 25 or more employees to do so provide 40 hours of ill leave due to Covid-19our partners in Philadelphia Tribune report.

In Capital Star: With the support of the governor. Tomek Wilk, Teachers’ Pension Fund Pa. gives up on Russian investments. And members of the party committee the district can start collecting signaturesin accordance with the rules of the higher court.

This morning on our comments page: As war rages in Ukraine, opinion is regular Dick Polman he wonders if they are Americans really willing to make sacrifices at home. AND Rob Schofieldour sister site, Watch Policy in North Carolinasays this is the message Americans need to hear at a pivotal moment in history: but do they want to listen?

U.S. Rep. Conor Lamb, D-17 District (left) and Gov. John Fetterman (right) (Capital-Star photo collage by John L. Mick)

Elsewhere.
Questioning breaks down occasional areas of contention between Democrats running for the US Senate.

“Gazeta Pocztowa”. talks to dissatisfied drivers about rising gas prices in Pittsburgh and across Pennsylvania.

Republican leaders in the House of Representatives you want to ship your expiring stock of PPE to Ukraine, PennLive reports.

Lancaster on the Internet explains how Lancaster County could spend millions of dollars on federal aid to expand access to broadband.

USA Today’s Pennsylvania Capital Office looks efforts to oppose white supremacy able.

About 25,000 fewer children benefit from the state’s affordable child care program, PA reflector reports with lend a hand WESA-FM (By Morning call).

The Luzerne County Council will vote Tuesday on: proposal to eliminate public comments from one part of the meetings, i.e Voice of Citizens reports.

BillyPenn explains why there is no footage from the police camera since the fatal shooting of a 12-year-old in Philadelphia (via WHY-FM).

Fatal overdoses have skyrocketed in Erie over the past year. Go Erie looks at local efforts to combat them.

Observer-Reporter talks to one family from Washington County fearing for the safety of their loved ones in Ukraine.

Stateline.org explains how state-imposed bans on goods manufactured in Russia could violate the US Constitution.

Leaders of Philadelphia’s minority chambers of commerce are talking about it City and State of Pa. This the city must be more business-friendly.

PoliticsPA flows down winners and losers of last week in state policy.

Some Republicans began calling Democrats “communists.” NYMag Interview explains why it shows fundamental historical ignorance.

Here’s your #Harrisburg Instagram of the Day:

What’s going on
Budget hearings are underway in the House Appropriations Committee. All sessions are broadcast live from the House floor.
10 a.m.: Department of Education (continued at 1:00 p.m.)
15:00: Community colleges

Also: The House Democratic Policy Committee meets at 1 p.m. in Pittsburgh.

Wolf watch
Governor Tom Wolf is organizing several events today. At 10:30 a.m. he arrived in Allentown to talk about efforts to improve educational equity. He will hold a press conference at 2:15 p.m Governor’s reception room talk about the state’s further efforts to break ties with Russia.

You say it’s your birthday.
Belated best wishes go to you this morning Sean CrampsieWith SHUT UPwho celebrated on Sunday.

Heavy rotation
Here’s fresh music from England Kooks. His ‘Connection.’ And they absolutely haven’t lost a step.

Monday free hockey link
The Carolina Hurricane On Sunday, they extended their home points streak to 11 games by defeating the visitors Seattle Kraken 3-2 at PNC Bank Arena. The Canes – Marty Necas scored the winning goal in the third quarter, NHL.com reports.

And now you’re up to date.

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