It’s not just the presidential race that’s too close to happen this fall in Pennsylvania.
Poll commissioned by AARP between September 17 and 24 showed that the Pennsylvania Attorney General and PA State Treasurer contests are also within +/- 3.5% margin of error, while the U.S. Senate racial gap is slightly larger than that.
In a poll of 1,398 likely Pennsylvania voters: Vice President Kamala Harris he has a 50-47% advantage over the former president Donald Trump in direct competition, while in the case of the remaining candidates the advantage drops to 49–47.
Both candidates win about 9 in 10 of their party’s voters, while Harris has a nine-point lead over independent voters.
“[Harris] it needs to reach out to older voters more… This is absolutely crucial for it,” he says Jeff Lisztpartner of the democratic research company Impact Research that conducted the study Bipartisan AARP poll together with Republican Party polling firm Fabrizio Ward. “At the same time, it is absolutely crucial for Trump to retain and win more older voters.”
- Voters 18–49: Harris 54–40% (+14)
- Voters 50+: Trump 52-44% (+8)
- 18-34: Harris 57-37% (+20)
- 50-64: Trump 53-43% (+10)
- Women 50+: 48-48% (even)
- Men 50+: Trump 57-40% (+17)
- Sex
- Women: Harris 57-38% (+19)
- Men: Trump 56-40% (+16)
- Location
- Urban: Harris 55-39% (+16)
- Suburban: Harris 53-43% (+10)
- Rural: Trump 58-40% (+18)
- Education
- Degree: Harris 55-40% (+15)
- Outsiders: Trump 51-45% (+6)
US Senate
Senator Bob Casey Jr.running for re-election to a fourth term in Washington has a 49-45% advantage over the Republican challenger Dave McCormick.
The results revealed an age gap: voters under 50 favor Casey by 53-40%, while voters over 50 favor McCormick by 5-45%. Casey has sturdy support from voters aged 18-34 (+26) and women (+19). McCormick also has a +13 advantage among men.
- Voters 18–49: Casey 53–40% (+13)
- Voters 50+: McCormick 50-45% (+5)
- 18-34: Casey 59-33% (+26)
- 50-64: McCormick 50-43% (+7)
- Women 50+: Casey 48-45% (+3)
- Men 50+: McCormick 55-42% (+13)
- Sex
- Women: Casey 56-37% (+19)
- Men: McCormick 54-41% (+13)
- Location
- Urban: Casey 55-40% (+15)
- Suburban: Casey 53-41% (+12)
- Rural: McCormick 57-39% (+18)
- Education
- Degree: Casey 56-40% (+16)
- Non-college: McCormick 49-44% (+5)
Attorney General of Pennsylvania
Democrat Eugene DePasquale moved past Republicans Dave’s Sunday since AARP’s last poll in April, with a 47-44 percent lead in the race for the state’s top cop.
Sunday’s spring poll showed a narrow 44-43% lead.
Both Republicans and Democrats vote for their party’s candidate by an identical margin of 77 points, while independents lean toward DePasquale.
- Voters 18–49: DePasquale 53–37% (+16)
- Voters 50+: Sunday 49-42% (=7)
- 18-34: DePasquale 56-32% (+24)
- 50-64: Sunday 49-40% (+9)
- Women 50+: 45-45% (even)
- Men 50+: Sunday 54-38% (+16)
- Sex
- Women: DePasquale 55-36% (+19)
- Men: Sunday 52-38% (+14)
- Location
- Urban: DePasquale 56-34% (+22)
- Suburban: DePasquale 49-42% (+7)
- Rural: Sunday 54-37% (+17)
- Education
- Degree: DePasquale 53-39% (+14)
- Outside the university: Sunday 47-43% (+4)
Pennsylvania State Treasurer
Incumbent Republican Stacy Garrity is in a fierce competition with the challenger from the Democratic Party Erin McClelland at 45-44%, and 11% remain undecided.
Independents are a toss-up group in this race.
- Voters 18–49: McClelland 49–41% (+8)
- Voters 50+: Garrity 48-40% (+8)
- 18-34: McClelland 50-38% (+12)
- 50-64: Garrity 48-39% (+9)
- Women 50+: Garrity 45-43% (+2)
- Men 50+: Garrity 53-37% (+16)
- Sex
- Women: McClelland 51-37% (+14)
- Men: Garrity 54-36% (+18)
- Location
- Urban: McClelland 54-36% (+18)
- Suburban: McClelland 44-43% (+1)
- Rural: Garrity 54-36% (+18)
- Education
- Degree: McClelland 50-41% (+9)
- Non-University: Garrity 47-40% (+7)
